Trading Ideas

ETHUSD 1h Bullish Divergence (Fri, 13 Jul 2018)
Spotted a nice Setup for ETHUSD: There's a bullish Divergence of Price vs. Momentum on the 2h Chart. Profit Target is around the upcoming "Ghost Pivot" (daily)
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EURUSD 2H: Bullish Divergence (Thu, 12 Jul 2018)
“There seems to be some perverse human characteristic that likes to make easy things difficult. ” ― Warren Buffett I think this Quote applies very well to Trading-Setups - Technical Analysis does not need to be complex or difficult. Considering myself as a TA-Nerd, I love to play around with Indicators, try to mix them or develop new ones. But sometimes it is a good Idea to step back and try to make things easier instead of overcomplicating things. This EURUSD Setup is a good Example: We have a Signal, a confirmation and a simple rule for taking Profit: Signal: Bullish Divergence of Price vs. Momentum Confirmation: MACD about to cross the Signal-line Take Profit at the latest untouched daily Pivot (1.16996)
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DXY: Qualified Trendline-Break (Thu, 12 Jul 2018)
By connecting the latest Level 3 TD Supply Points on the US Dollar Currency Index Chart (4hrs), we see a long Trendline. The Continuation of the Trendline between both Points was drawn by the TD lines Script, while the Line that connects both TD Points (to be exact: the wicks/ the high-values of that candles are connected) was drawn by Hand to better illustrate the Trendline. The Trendline was broken and R:R based SL/TP values have been calculated automagically. Assuming 1:3, SL is at 94.07 and TP at 95.
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CHF/JPY Bearish MACD Divergence on the 1H Chart (Thu, 12 Jul 2018)
There is a bearish Divergence of Price vs. MACD on the 1H CHF/JPY Chart. This bearish Signal is confirmed by RSI: it was overbought and is now falling. Profit Target is the daily Pivot at 112.220
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IOTABTC 4h Bullish Divergence (Wed, 11 Jul 2018)
A Bullish Divergence indicates a potential Trend Reversal - or at least a temporary Swing! In this Case, we have a nice Divergence of Price vs. CCI (Commodity Channel Index). To confirm this Buy-Sinal, we'll have a look at the RSI: It was oversold, found it's ground and is moving up again. It's time to enter this Trade! Profit Target is 0.00015788 - this is the Resistance-Line. When Price touches or even crosses the Resistance-Line, it get's interesting, because Price then will move outside the Linear Regression Channel and could start a real Trend Reversal with a strong Uptrend.
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ETHBTC 4H Setup-Phase before potential Uptrend (Tue, 10 Jul 2018)
ETHBTC entered the Setup-Phase before a potential Uptrend. When the green Threshold-Line will be crossed, a strong Uptrend/ Buy-Signal will be generated. Looking at the Backtests - the Signals that are provided by the AutoTrendTrader Strategy are very reliable (75% profitable Trades, more than 100% Net Profit, less than 10% Drawdown). I created an Alert and will post the Buy-Signal as soon as it occurs.
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ZRXBTC 4H: High profit - low Drawdown by Riding Trends (Tue, 10 Jul 2018)
ZRXBTC seems to be perfect for technical Analysis! It's so easy to identify strong Trends. I found a highly profitable Setup on the 4H Timeframe. You'll get only a few Signals per Month, but according to the Backtests, more than 90% of the Trades are profitable. Sounds almost too good to be true? But it's getting better: Depending on your Account-size and the Position-sizes you are using, you'll achieve almost 80% Net Profit with less than 5% Drawdown! Here is a screenshot with the Backtesting Results from TradingView's Strategy-Tester, and here are the Settings that were used.
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CHFJPY 4H Long (Sun, 08 Jul 2018)
While searching for use-cases for TD Lines based Strategies, I found out that CHFJPY seems to be sensitive to TD Lines/ Trendline-based Signals. Using TD Points Level 3 reduces the number of Signals but increases the Reliability. As a Strategy for taking Profit, I use the 3-Day-Trailing-Stop-Rule (3DTSR) by Peter Brandt. Here are the full Settings. Looking at the Backtests - Net-Profit is high, while Drawdown is low. Recently, the current TD Supply Line was broken and a Buy-Signal was issued that still looks very valid. So it would be a good Idea to have a look, how the markets open on Sunday-Night (depending on where you are ...) and then enter the trade on a pullback.
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Crypto Exchanges: Profitable Correlations (Fri, 06 Jul 2018)
Comparing Price Movements of one Crypto-Currency on multiple Crypto Exchanges can be very profitable! My approach is to compare the Movements on an Exchange with high Volume with the price Movement on an Exchange with low Volume. The Hypothesis is that if the Price on the low Volume Exchange is falling, while the Price is rising on a high Volume Exchange, the Price on the low Volume Exchange will follow the direction of the high Volume Exchange. I proof this Hypothesis with backtests and I already found some really nice Correlations and here is another one: If BTCUSD is falling on the 1H chart on HitBTC (low Volume) while XBTUSD is rising on BitMEX (high Volume), the probability is high, that the Price will start to rise on HitBTC too. There are only a few Trades a year that match the criteria, but more than 80% are profitable with a low Drawdown. Here's the Screenshot with the backtesting results (TradingView might not show the Output of the Strategy Tester when I publish a Idea of the Type "Education")
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Gold bullish on the Daily (Fri, 06 Jul 2018)
Gold was in a strong Downtrend, shown by the red Trendline on the Daily chart. Below the Trendline was a significant bullish Divergence of Price vs. CCI - and the Trendline was broken yesterday. MACD gives us a confirmation of this bullish signal: It looks like MACD is about to cross the Signal-line bottom-up. On the Weekly chart, we see that Price already bounced off the long-term support and we do see a strong bullish Divergence too on that Timeframe. Profit Target is the yet untouched monthly Pivot at 1270
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